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Case Study
 

Customer specific forecasting model helps global giant improve forecasting accuracy

The Challenge The Solution The Benefits

By leveraging Patni's expertise in SAP APO, a global conglomerate improved its forecasting capability for key customer accounts

The Client

The client is one of the largest conglomerates in the world and operates in over 200 countries across the globe.

The Challenge

For managing demand planning, the client was using Manugistics for its North American operations. The North American division consists of two groups responsible for demand planning - one group is responsible for national level demand management while the other group focuses on demand planning for high-value customers.

To enhance customer satisfaction and increase operational efficiencies, the client desired to plan demand for individual customers based on optimum order quantity. In this model, the actual Point of Sales (POS) data was to be taken as the base, and optimum order quantity was to be calculated by considering inventory policies and other constraints. However, calculation of optimum order quantity was a challenging task as it was to be derived by applying various parameters related to the customer's inventory policy, demand and different time lags. By implementing this forecasting model, the client desired to:
Increase accuracy in its forecasting process for its key accounts
Separate the baseline forecast from promotion planning

 

The Solution

As the client was already using SAP APO DP to manage demand planning in Europe, a decision was taken to implement the same solution for its North American operations. Having delivered a number of successful projects for the client, Patni was chosen for conducting a feasibility study and implementing SAP APO DP for national and customer specific forecasting. Patni partnered with the client to deliver a complete end-to-end solution which included Business Analysis, Prototype Design, application design, application development and unit testing. Despite challenges such as complex BW reporting requirements and huge data volumes, Patni helped the client successfully meet its desired objectives within a short timeframe.

Solution highlights include:
Development of a Point of Sales based CPFR (Collaborative planning forecasting and replenishment) model for high-value customers
Development of algorithm for calculation of Optimum Order Quantity
Development of framework for specific analytical reports such as inventory trading.

Due to Patni's solution, today, the entire demand planning is based on customer material number and the customer calendar. This is linked to the client's SAP product number, product hierarchy and customer calendar. Forecast data is fed to the BW for calculation and evaluation of metrics like forecast accuracy and errors. To support the process, Patni designed reports such as Forecast attainment reports, Waterfall reports, Collaborative Planning reports using Perfect order calculations and BEx (Business Explorer) reports.

 

The Technology

SAP BW 3.0b as Data Hub and Reporting
SAP APO 3.0b for Forecasting
SAP R/3 4.6b for Material Mapping Information
UNIX Shell Scripts for Customer Files Processing
Autosys for Batch Scheduling
 

The Benefits

As the entire project was delivered using a dominant offshore component, the client gained significant cost savings. Some key benefits for the client include:
Reduced instability in the inventory levels due to improved forecast accuracy for key customer accounts
Increased competitiveness due to access to data generated at the retail level. For example, retail information is available in the global datawarehouse and can be shared by other reporting applications
Enhanced customer service and communication between the client and its customers
Availability of a solution that is easily maintainable - without the complex & intense master data driven APO SNP module.

 
   
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